The Elephant

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Topic: El Niño


Featured Articles:

Global Warming Acceleration: El Nino Measuring Stick Looks Good

  2023-12-15 (or before) in Mailchimp

  Tagged under: Extreme Weather | Climate Change | El Niño


Earth on verge of five catastrophic climate tipping points, scientists warn

  2023-12-06 in The Guardian

Humanity faces ‘devastating domino effects’ including mass displacement and financial ruin as planet warms

  Tagged under: Science | Climate Change Impacts | Climate Change | Tipping Points | El Niño


Related Articles (63)

Hot Streak: Why February 2024 Was The 9th Consecutive Hottest Month On Record

  2024-03-07 by in Forbes

Earth just experienced the hottest February since records began—and researchers warn it's all part of a pattern caused by human activity.

  Tagged under: Climate Change | Extreme Heat | El Niño


El Niño forecast to drive record heat from the Amazon to Alaska in 2024

  2024-02-29 in The Guardian

Coastal areas facing ‘enormous and urgent climate crisis’ as event supercharges human-caused global heating, scientists say

  Tagged under: El Niño | South America | Alaska


El Niño May Have Kicked Off Thwaites Glacier Retreat - Eos

  2024-02-26 by in Eos

Antarctica’s “Doomsday Glacier” started losing mass midcentury, around the same time as its neighboring glacier.

  Tagged under: El Niño


Preliminary analysis says global warming more to blame than El Niño for Amazon’s ongoing record drought

  2024-02-08 (or before) in Climate.gov

2023 “exceptional” drought would have been two categories weaker and ~30 times less likely in a world without global warming.

  Tagged under: Amazon Rainforest | Drought | Global Warming | El Niño


World ‘not prepared’ for climate disasters after warmest ever January

  2024-02-06 in The Guardian

Effect of El Niño phenomenon combined with human-driven global heating is causing increasing alarm among scientists

  Tagged under: El Niño


Colombia declares a disaster due to wildfires as it calls for international help | CNN

  2024-01-25 by in CNN International

The fires are thought to be the result of hot and dry conditions linked to the El Niño weather phenomenon.

  Tagged under: El Niño | Wildfires


Extreme fire weather in Chile driven by climate change and El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) - Scientific Reports

  2024-01-23 in Nature

A string of fierce fires broke out in Chile in the austral summer 2023, just six years after the record-breaking 2017 fire season. Favored by extreme weather conditions, fire activity has dramatically risen in recent years in this Andean country. A total of 1.7 million ha. burned during the last decade, tripling figures of the prior decade. Six of the seven most destructive fire seasons on record occurred since 2014. Here, we analyze the progression during the last two decades of the weather conditions associated with increased fire risk in Central Chile (30°–39° S). Fire weather conditions (including high temperat...

  Tagged under: Drought | Oceans | Chile | El Niño | Heatwaves | Wildfires


Global heating will pass 1.5C threshold this year, top ex-Nasa scientist says

  2024-01-08 in The Guardian

James Hansen says limit will be passed ‘for all practical purposes’ by May though other experts predict that will happen in 2030s

  Tagged under: Global Warming | IPCC | El Niño


Cookies and candy are latest victims of climate crisis as sugar prices surge

  2024-01-05 in The Guardian

Cost of sugar surges to highest level since 2011 after dry spell in India and drought in Thailand, and price hike has already filtered down to desserts

  Tagged under: Drought | El Niño | Brazil


Seattle sets December temperature records, following global trend

  2024-01-04 in The Seattle Times

The unusually warm month came as Earth’s rapidly warming winters affected snowfall and winter sports, and as a strong, naturally occurring El Niño pushed tropical air into the region.

  Tagged under: El Niño | Washington State


Global Warming Acceleration: El Nino Measuring Stick Looks Good

  2023-12-15 (or before) in Mailchimp

  Tagged under: Extreme Weather | Climate Change | El Niño


El Nino appears to be on verge of rapid collapse

  2023-12-13 in FOX Weather

A climate pattern that began in June will not complete a full year. A significant pending cooldown of waters in the central and eastern Pacific will ensure that the world is heading toward a neutral status.

  Tagged under: Collapse | El Niño


‘Unprecedented mass coral bleaching’ expected in 2024, says expert

  2023-12-07 in The Guardian

2023 is first year of potential pair of El Niño years and since 1997, every instance of these pairs has led to mass coral mortality

  Tagged under: Coral Reefs | Wildlife | COP28 | El Niño | Caribbean


Earth on verge of five catastrophic climate tipping points, scientists warn

  2023-12-06 in The Guardian

Humanity faces ‘devastating domino effects’ including mass displacement and financial ruin as planet warms

  Tagged under: Science | Climate Change Impacts | Climate Change | Tipping Points | El Niño


Will the Globe Encounter the Warmest Winter after the Hottest Summer in 2023? - Advances in Atmospheric Sciences

  2023-12-01 in Springer Verlag

In the boreal summer and autumn of 2023, the globe experienced an extremely hot period across both oceans and continents. The consecutive record-breaking mean surface temperature has caused many to speculate upon how the global temperature will evolve in the coming 2023/24 boreal winter. In this report, as shown in the multi-model ensemble mean (MME) prediction released by the Institute of Atmospheric Physics at the Chinese Academy of Sciences, a medium-to-strong eastern Pacific El Niño event will reach its mature phase in the following 2–3 months, which tends to excite an anomalous anticyclone over the western Nort...

  Tagged under: Oceans | Global Warming | El Niño | Middle East


Dr. James E. Hansen in Conversation with Paul Beckwith

  2023-11-27 (or before) in YouTube

Dr. James Hansen, former Director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, and Adjunct Professor at Columbia University’s Earth Institute, joins Paul...

  Tagged under: Earth Energy Imbalance | El Niño | Sea Level


One Huge Contradiction Is Undoing Our Best Climate Efforts

  2023-11-10 by in The Atlantic

The math isn’t adding up.

  Tagged under: Fossil Fuels | Net Zero | Legislation | El Niño


‘Everything is parched’: Amazon struggles with drought amid deforestation

  2023-11-06 in The Guardian

By now, the rivers should be full. But large-scale cattle farming, the climate crisis and weather events like El Niño mean Brazil is near the point of no return

  Tagged under: Deforestation | Amazon Rainforest | Drought | Cattle and Dairy Farming | El Niño | Brazil | Trees | Rivers


Drought turns Amazonian capital into climate dystopia

  2023-10-18 in The Guardian

Forest fires leave Manaus with second worst air quality in the world, while low river levels cut off communities

  Tagged under: Deforestation | Amazon Rainforest | Drought | Forest Fires | Rivers | El Niño | South America | Brazil | Wildfires | Trees


El Nino Fizzles. Planet Earth Sizzles. Why?

  2023-10-14 (or before) in Mailchimp

  Tagged under: El Niño


September 2023 ENSO Outlook: An El Niño convo

  2023-10-04 (or before) in Climate.gov

The September 2023 ENSO Outlook predicts El Niño will stick around at least through January-March 2024. But don't just take it from us, hear directly from the Pacific Ocean and tropical atmosphere, who join the blog to answer some questions.

  Tagged under: Oceans | Predictions | El Niño


August 2023 Temperature Update - Berkeley Earth

  2023-09-13 by in Environmental science, data, and analysis of the highest qualityIndependent, non-governmental, and open-source. - Berkeley Earth

August 2023 was the warmest month since record-keeping began in 1850. El Niño is strengthening, and 2023 is virtually certain to become a record warm year.

  Tagged under: El Niño


‘Major disruptor’: El Niño threatens the world’s rice supplies

  2023-09-07 in The Guardian

After India imposed an export ban on rice following destructive rains, prices have soared – now rising temperatures put crops across south-east Asia at risk

  Tagged under: Pacific Ocean | El Niño


Indonesia’s tropical Eternity Glaciers could vanish within years, experts say

  2023-08-25 in The Guardian

El Niño weather pattern could accelerate melting, leading to sea level rise

  Tagged under: El Niño | Sea Level | Indonesia


Return of El Niño raises risk of hunger, drought and malaria, scientists warn

  2023-08-10 in The Guardian

Hot natural weather pattern will exacerbate heat-related dangers brought about by climate crisis

  Tagged under: Drought | El Niño


Winter heatwave in Andes is sign of things to come, scientists warn

  2023-08-06 in The Guardian

Human-caused climate disruption and El Niño push temperature in mountains to 37C

  Tagged under: Chile | El Niño


5 factors behind the Global Heatwave 2023, and it's not just El Niño

  2023-08-06 (or before) in YouTube

plain language description from a professional climatologistsome key studies on solar irradiance and volcanic issuesSchmutz, W., Changes in the Total Solar I...

  Tagged under: Climate Change | El Niño


‘No one wants to be right about this’: climate scientists’ horror and exasperation as global predictions play out

  2023-07-24 in The Guardian

As the northern hemisphere burns, experts feel deep sadness – and resentment – while dreading what lies ahead this Australian summer

  Tagged under: Predictions | Fossil Fuels | El Niño | Heatwaves | Wildfires


‘Uncharted territory’: UN declares first week of July world’s hottest ever recorded

  2023-07-11 in The Guardian

Extreme temperatures break records as scientists warn El Niño is set to get worse

  Tagged under: El Niño


Will El Niño on top of global heating create the perfect climate storm?

  2023-07-03 in The Guardian

Rising temperatures in north Atlantic and drop in Antarctic sea ice prompt fears of widespread damage from extreme weather

  Tagged under: Oceans | Antarctic | El Niño


Global average sea and air temperatures are spiking in 2023, before El Niño has fully arrived

  2023-06-23 (or before) in Phys.org - News and Articles on Science and Technology

Recent spikes in ocean heat content and average global air temperature have left climate scientists across the world scrambling to find the cause. The global average air temperature, relative to 1850-1900, exceeded the 1.5℃ lower Paris Agreement threshold during part of March and the first days of June. This last happened in 2020, and before that during the powerful 2015-16 El Niño.

  Tagged under: Oceans | El Niño


Global average sea and air temperatures are spiking in 2023, before El Niño has fully arrived. We should be very concerned

  2023-06-20 by in The Conversation

Over the past three years, Earth’s climate system has accumulated an average of 11 Hiroshima bombs’ worth of excess energy per second. And it’s showing in the current surge in ocean temperature.

  Tagged under: Oceans | El Niño


El Nino and Global Warming Accelearation

  2023-06-15 (or before) in Mailchimp

  Tagged under: El Niño


El Niño is coming. We must plan for the worst to protect Australia’s energy system | Dylan McConnell and Iain MacGill

  2023-06-09 in The Guardian

The Bureau of Meteorology predicts increased temperatures and heatwaves this year, raising the prospect of blackouts – just as the electricity sector faces several other challenges

  Tagged under: Renewable Energy | Predictions | Fossil Fuels | Electricity | El Niño | Heatwaves


Pigs, rabbits and fish are dying from searing temperatures in China | CNN Business

  2023-06-02 by in CNN

With parts of China experiencing record high temperatures and heavy rains, reports of farm animals and crops suffering from extreme weather patterns are dominating headlines in the country, raising concerns about food security in the world’s second largest economy.

  Tagged under: Drought | Farming | Fish | Flooding | Rivers | Health | Food Production and Consumption | El Niño | Trees | Finance


Dr Jennifer Francis - 2023’s symptoms of climate chaos, El Niño, Ocean Heatwaves, and Arctic Sea Ice lows | Patreon

  2023-05-28 (or before) in Patreon

Official Post from ClimateGenn

  Tagged under: Oceans | Arctic | El Niño | Heatwaves


Unusual Ocean Anomalies are being detected in the North Atlantic, impacting the Atlantic storm systems as we head into the Summer season

  2023-05-23 by in Severe Weather Europe - “Follow severe weather as it happens. Anywhere. Any time.”

Unusual Ocean Anomalies in the North Atlantic have developed over Spring, potentially impacting the weather patterns in the United States and Europe

  Tagged under: Oceans | El Niño


El Nino on the way, could wipe out $3 trillion of world economy

  2023-05-23 (or before) in Business News - Read Latest Startup, Tech, Markets, Finance, Science News - Business Insider India

  Tagged under: Oceans | El Niño


Anthropogenic impacts on twentieth-century ENSO variability changes - Nature Reviews Earth & Environment

  2023-05-18 (or before) in Nature

Although model projections indicate increased El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability in the future, contemporary impacts of anthropogenic forcing on ENSO variability have been difficult to ascertain. This Perspective discusses these contemporary effects, outlining that an increase in post-1960 ENSO variability is likely related to greenhouse gas forcing.

  Tagged under: El Niño


Global heating has likely made El Niños and La Niñas more ‘frequent and extreme’, new study shows

  2023-05-18 in The Guardian

Scientists say greenhouse gases have already affected climate patterns in the Pacific that could lead to more severe weather, floods and heatwaves

  Tagged under: Pacific Ocean | El Niño | Heatwaves


World likely to breach 1.5C climate threshold by 2027, scientists warn

  2023-05-17 in The Guardian

UN agency says El Niño and human-induced climate breakdown could combine to push temperatures into ‘uncharted territory’

  Tagged under: El Niño


The ocean is hotter than ever: what happens next?

  2023-05-10 (or before) in Nature

Record temperature combined with an anticipated El Niño could devastate marine life and increase the chances of extreme weather. Record temperature combined with an anticipated El Niño could devastate marine life and increase the chances of extreme weather.

  Tagged under: Oceans | El Niño


El Niño 2023 could be a monster!

  2023-05-02 (or before) in YouTube

After three years of La Niña in the South Pacific supressing the effects of global warming, the ENSO system is now turning towards El Niño conditions, which ...

  Tagged under: El Niño


Monster Heat Hits 1/3rd of World Population

  2023-04-24 by in Counter Punch

Global warming is hitting full stride as SE Asia, inclusive of parts of China and India literally roast. It’s a bad omen for the rest of the world as the entire planet is threatened by an emerging El Niño event starting this year. El Niño is the warm phase of the El Niño-Southern oscillation that originates in the equatorial Pacific every few years, bringing on more heat throughout the planet. According to euronews.com/green, El Niño is forecast to return in 2023 and could set new temperature records.

  Tagged under: El Niño


Rapidly forming El Niño to boost global warming, scientists say

  2023-04-19 in Axios

  Tagged under: El Niño


Super El Niño Warnung: Klimamodelle warnen vor einem heißen Sommer

  2023-04-14 in Lokalnachrichten aus ganz Österreich auf meinbezirk.at

Frühwarnungen vom australischen Büro für Metrologie BAM und amerikanischen IRI von dieser Woche deuten auf ein starkes El Niño Jahr hin. Auch wenn es derzeit in Österreich nicht so aussieht, der Sommer kann global gesehen sehr heiß werden.

  Tagged under: El Niño


‘Headed off the charts’: world’s ocean surface temperature hits record high

  2023-04-08 in The Guardian

Scientists warn of more marine heatwaves, leading to increased risk of extreme weather

  Tagged under: Oceans | El Niño | Heatwaves


The oceans just reached their hottest temperature on record as El Niño looms. Here are 6 things to watch for | CNN

  2023-04-01 by in CNN

It's unclear how strong the coming El Niño will be -- some models predict it could reach super-strength, others suggest it will be more moderate.

  Tagged under: Oceans | Drought | Predictions | Climate Change | Antarctic | Flooding | El Niño | Health | Climate Change Impacts | Finance


A looming El Niño could give us a preview of life at 1.5C of warming » Yale Climate Connections

  2023-03-07 by in Yale Climate Connections

The hotter weather pattern might push the Earth into unprecedented territory next year.

  Tagged under: El Niño


The Convergence of the Next El Niño–Southern Oscillation & the Arctic Sea Ice Minimum

  2023-01-29 in Kevin Hester

As the triple dip La Niña wanes, we need to consider the consequences of the next El Niño on the Arctic Sea Ice minimum, which ‘normally’ unfolds in the middle of September. That could …

  Tagged under: Arctic | El Niño


Warning of unprecedented heatwaves as El Niño set to return in 2023

  2023-01-16 in The Guardian

Scientists say phenomenon coupled with growing climate crisis likely to push global temperatures ‘off the chart’

  Tagged under: Extreme Weather | Heatwaves | El Niño


Strong El Niño could make 2024 the first year we pass 1.5°C of warming | New Scientist

  2023-01-15 (or before) in New Scientist

Early modelling suggests the world’s climate could shift to an El Niño pattern towards the end of 2023, which is likely to increase the global average temperature

  Tagged under: El Niño


El Niño Is Coming—and the World Isn’t Prepared

  2022-12-24 (or before) in WIRED Magazine

  Tagged under: El Niño


Arctic sea ice loss to increase strong El Niño events linked to extreme weather: Study

  2022-10-24 in Mongabay

As Arctic sea ice begins melting out fully in summer, the frequency of strong El Niños could increase by 35% by century's end, causing extreme weather events to increase, says recent modeling study.

  Tagged under: Extreme Weather | Arctic | Ice Melting | El Niño


New research reveals that wildfires can influence El Niño

  2022-08-14 (or before) in Phys.org - News and Articles on Science and Technology

Wildfire is a phenomenon that has affected pretty much every vegetated environment on Earth for millions of years. However, during the past few decades, the planet has been experiencing extraordinary wildfire activity, with widespread devastation in diverse places such as the Mediterranean, North and South America, Southeast Asia, Australia and even Siberia. The current year has already shown troubling signs of massive fires—for example, Europe's total burnt area for the 2022 fire season is four times greater than the 2006–2021 average, according to the European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS).

  Tagged under: Wildfires | Forest Fires | El Niño | Trees


The role of tropical volcanic eruptions in exacerbating Indian droughts - Scientific Reports

  2022-05-02 (or before) in Nature

The Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) is vital for the livelihood of millions of people in the Indian region; droughts caused by monsoon failures often resulted in famines. Large volcanic eruptions have been linked with reductions in ISMR, but the responsible mechanisms remain unclear. Here, using 145-year (1871–2016) records of volcanic eruptions and ISMR, we show that ISMR deficits prevail for two years after moderate and large (VEI > 3) tropical volcanic eruptions; this is not the case for extra-tropical eruptions. Moreover, tropical volcanic eruptions strengthen El Niño and weaken La Ni&...

  Tagged under: Solar Energy | Extreme Rainfall | Drought | Famine | El Niño


Another Record: Ocean Warming Continues through 2021 despite La Niña Conditions - Advances in Atmospheric Sciences

  2022-01-11 (or before) in Springer Verlag

The increased concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere from human activities traps heat within the climate system and increases ocean heat content (OHC). Here, we provide the first analysis of recent OHC changes through 2021 from two international groups. The world ocean, in 2021, was the hottest ever recorded by humans, and the 2021 annual OHC value is even higher than last year’s record value by 14 ± 11 ZJ (1 zetta J = 1021 J) using the IAP/CAS dataset and by 16 ± 10 ZJ using NCEI/NOAA dataset. The long-term ocean warming is larger in the Atlantic and Southern Oceans than in other regions and is ...

  Tagged under: Oceans | Greenhouse Gases | Climate Change | Pacific Ocean | El Niño | Climate Change Mitigation


Climate crisis: 2020 was joint hottest year ever recorded

  2021-01-08 in The Guardian

Global heating continued unabated despite Covid lockdowns, with record Arctic wildfires and Atlantic tropical storms

  Tagged under: Extreme Weather | Wildfires | Arctic | Fossil Fuels | El Niño


Climate Change Might Trigger El Niño-like Pattern Over Indian Ocean by 2050: Study | The Weather Channel - Articles from The Weather Channel | weather.com

  2020-05-24 (or before) in The Weather Channel and weather.com

The new study revealed that even a small increase in the surface temperature of the Indian Ocean can lead to the formation of El Niño-like patterns in the near future. - Articles from The Weather Channel | weather.com

  Tagged under: Oceans | India | Climate Change | El Niño


Antarctica : What happens if the 'Doomsday' Glacier collapses?

  2020-03-19 (or before) in YouTube

Antarctica is home to some of the world's largest ice sheets and glaciers. They existed in a stable equilibrium of ebb and flow for millions of years until g...

  Tagged under: Climate Change | Antarctic | Collapse | El Niño


Climate havoc wipes out coastal kelp as SF Bay’s native fish species die off

  2019-10-23 (or before) by in San Francisco Chronicle

Climate havoc is wiping out the California coast’s kelp, an important food source for...

  Tagged under: Fish | Rivers | Wildlife | California | El Niño


Meet El Niño’s cranky uncle that could send global warming into hyperdrive

  2017-02-05 by in The Conversation

We’re due to cop a hiding from the Pacific Ocean, but we don’t know when.

  Tagged under: Pacific Ocean | El Niño


El Niño and a record CO2 rise - Nature Climate Change

  2016-06-13 in Nature

The recent El Niño event has elevated the rise in CO2 concentration this year. Here, using emissions, sea surface temperature data and a climate model, we forecast that the CO2 concentration at Mauna Loa will for the first time remain above 400 ppm all year, and hence for our lifetimes.

  Tagged under: El Niño


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