The Elephant
A resource for journalists, politicians, policy makers, activists and citizens interested in climate change and the environmental emergency
The ElephantA resource for journalists, politicians, policy makers, activists and citizens interested in climate change and the environmental emergency
Global Warming Acceleration: El Nino Measuring Stick Looks Good
2023-12-15 (or before) in MailchimpTagged under: Extreme Weather | Climate Change | El Niño
Earth on verge of five catastrophic climate tipping points, scientists warn
2023-12-06 in The GuardianHumanity faces ‘devastating domino effects’ including mass displacement and financial ruin as planet warms
Tagged under: Science | Climate Change Impacts | Climate Change | Tipping Points | El Niño
Hot Streak: Why February 2024 Was The 9th Consecutive Hottest Month On Record
2024-03-07 by in ForbesEarth just experienced the hottest February since records began—and researchers warn it's all part of a pattern caused by human activity.
Tagged under: Climate Change | Extreme Heat | El Niño
El Niño forecast to drive record heat from the Amazon to Alaska in 2024
2024-02-29 in The GuardianCoastal areas facing ‘enormous and urgent climate crisis’ as event supercharges human-caused global heating, scientists say
Tagged under: El Niño | South America | Alaska
El Niño May Have Kicked Off Thwaites Glacier Retreat - Eos
2024-02-26 by in EosAntarctica’s “Doomsday Glacier” started losing mass midcentury, around the same time as its neighboring glacier.
Tagged under: El Niño
Preliminary analysis says global warming more to blame than El Niño for Amazon’s ongoing record drought
2024-02-08 (or before) in Climate.gov2023 “exceptional” drought would have been two categories weaker and ~30 times less likely in a world without global warming.
Tagged under: Amazon Rainforest | Drought | Global Warming | El Niño
World ‘not prepared’ for climate disasters after warmest ever January
2024-02-06 in The GuardianEffect of El Niño phenomenon combined with human-driven global heating is causing increasing alarm among scientists
Tagged under: El Niño
Colombia declares a disaster due to wildfires as it calls for international help | CNN
2024-01-25 by in CNN InternationalThe fires are thought to be the result of hot and dry conditions linked to the El Niño weather phenomenon.
Tagged under: El Niño | Wildfires
Extreme fire weather in Chile driven by climate change and El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) - Scientific Reports
2024-01-23 in NatureA string of fierce fires broke out in Chile in the austral summer 2023, just six years after the record-breaking 2017 fire season. Favored by extreme weather conditions, fire activity has dramatically risen in recent years in this Andean country. A total of 1.7 million ha. burned during the last decade, tripling figures of the prior decade. Six of the seven most destructive fire seasons on record occurred since 2014. Here, we analyze the progression during the last two decades of the weather conditions associated with increased fire risk in Central Chile (30°–39° S). Fire weather conditions (including high temperat...
Tagged under: Drought | Oceans | Chile | El Niño | Heatwaves | Wildfires
Global heating will pass 1.5C threshold this year, top ex-Nasa scientist says
2024-01-08 in The GuardianJames Hansen says limit will be passed ‘for all practical purposes’ by May though other experts predict that will happen in 2030s
Tagged under: Global Warming | IPCC | El Niño
Cookies and candy are latest victims of climate crisis as sugar prices surge
2024-01-05 in The GuardianCost of sugar surges to highest level since 2011 after dry spell in India and drought in Thailand, and price hike has already filtered down to desserts
Tagged under: Drought | El Niño | Brazil
Seattle sets December temperature records, following global trend
2024-01-04 in The Seattle TimesThe unusually warm month came as Earth’s rapidly warming winters affected snowfall and winter sports, and as a strong, naturally occurring El Niño pushed tropical air into the region.
Tagged under: El Niño | Washington State
Global Warming Acceleration: El Nino Measuring Stick Looks Good
2023-12-15 (or before) in MailchimpTagged under: Extreme Weather | Climate Change | El Niño
El Nino appears to be on verge of rapid collapse
2023-12-13 in FOX WeatherA climate pattern that began in June will not complete a full year. A significant pending cooldown of waters in the central and eastern Pacific will ensure that the world is heading toward a neutral status.
Tagged under: Collapse | El Niño
‘Unprecedented mass coral bleaching’ expected in 2024, says expert
2023-12-07 in The Guardian2023 is first year of potential pair of El Niño years and since 1997, every instance of these pairs has led to mass coral mortality
Tagged under: Coral Reefs | Wildlife | COP28 | El Niño | Caribbean
Earth on verge of five catastrophic climate tipping points, scientists warn
2023-12-06 in The GuardianHumanity faces ‘devastating domino effects’ including mass displacement and financial ruin as planet warms
Tagged under: Science | Climate Change Impacts | Climate Change | Tipping Points | El Niño
Will the Globe Encounter the Warmest Winter after the Hottest Summer in 2023? - Advances in Atmospheric Sciences
2023-12-01 in Springer VerlagIn the boreal summer and autumn of 2023, the globe experienced an extremely hot period across both oceans and continents. The consecutive record-breaking mean surface temperature has caused many to speculate upon how the global temperature will evolve in the coming 2023/24 boreal winter. In this report, as shown in the multi-model ensemble mean (MME) prediction released by the Institute of Atmospheric Physics at the Chinese Academy of Sciences, a medium-to-strong eastern Pacific El Niño event will reach its mature phase in the following 2–3 months, which tends to excite an anomalous anticyclone over the western Nort...
Tagged under: Oceans | Global Warming | El Niño | Middle East
Dr. James E. Hansen in Conversation with Paul Beckwith
2023-11-27 (or before) in YouTubeDr. James Hansen, former Director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, and Adjunct Professor at Columbia University’s Earth Institute, joins Paul...
Tagged under: Earth Energy Imbalance | El Niño | Sea Level
One Huge Contradiction Is Undoing Our Best Climate Efforts
2023-11-10 by in The AtlanticThe math isn’t adding up.
Tagged under: Fossil Fuels | Net Zero | Legislation | El Niño
‘Everything is parched’: Amazon struggles with drought amid deforestation
2023-11-06 in The GuardianBy now, the rivers should be full. But large-scale cattle farming, the climate crisis and weather events like El Niño mean Brazil is near the point of no return
Tagged under: Deforestation | Amazon Rainforest | Drought | Cattle and Dairy Farming | El Niño | Brazil | Trees | Rivers
Drought turns Amazonian capital into climate dystopia
2023-10-18 in The GuardianForest fires leave Manaus with second worst air quality in the world, while low river levels cut off communities
Tagged under: Deforestation | Amazon Rainforest | Drought | Forest Fires | Rivers | El Niño | South America | Brazil | Wildfires | Trees
El Nino Fizzles. Planet Earth Sizzles. Why?
2023-10-14 (or before) in MailchimpTagged under: El Niño
September 2023 ENSO Outlook: An El Niño convo
2023-10-04 (or before) in Climate.govThe September 2023 ENSO Outlook predicts El Niño will stick around at least through January-March 2024. But don't just take it from us, hear directly from the Pacific Ocean and tropical atmosphere, who join the blog to answer some questions.
Tagged under: Oceans | Predictions | El Niño
August 2023 Temperature Update - Berkeley Earth
2023-09-13 by in Environmental science, data, and analysis of the highest qualityIndependent, non-governmental, and open-source. - Berkeley EarthAugust 2023 was the warmest month since record-keeping began in 1850. El Niño is strengthening, and 2023 is virtually certain to become a record warm year.
Tagged under: El Niño
‘Major disruptor’: El Niño threatens the world’s rice supplies
2023-09-07 in The GuardianAfter India imposed an export ban on rice following destructive rains, prices have soared – now rising temperatures put crops across south-east Asia at risk
Tagged under: Pacific Ocean | El Niño
Indonesia’s tropical Eternity Glaciers could vanish within years, experts say
2023-08-25 in The GuardianEl Niño weather pattern could accelerate melting, leading to sea level rise
Tagged under: El Niño | Sea Level | Indonesia
Return of El Niño raises risk of hunger, drought and malaria, scientists warn
2023-08-10 in The GuardianHot natural weather pattern will exacerbate heat-related dangers brought about by climate crisis
Tagged under: Drought | El Niño
Winter heatwave in Andes is sign of things to come, scientists warn
2023-08-06 in The GuardianHuman-caused climate disruption and El Niño push temperature in mountains to 37C
5 factors behind the Global Heatwave 2023, and it's not just El Niño
2023-08-06 (or before) in YouTubeplain language description from a professional climatologistsome key studies on solar irradiance and volcanic issuesSchmutz, W., Changes in the Total Solar I...
Tagged under: Climate Change | El Niño
‘No one wants to be right about this’: climate scientists’ horror and exasperation as global predictions play out
2023-07-24 in The GuardianAs the northern hemisphere burns, experts feel deep sadness – and resentment – while dreading what lies ahead this Australian summer
Tagged under: Predictions | Fossil Fuels | El Niño | Heatwaves | Wildfires
‘Uncharted territory’: UN declares first week of July world’s hottest ever recorded
2023-07-11 in The GuardianExtreme temperatures break records as scientists warn El Niño is set to get worse
Tagged under: El Niño
Will El Niño on top of global heating create the perfect climate storm?
2023-07-03 in The GuardianRising temperatures in north Atlantic and drop in Antarctic sea ice prompt fears of widespread damage from extreme weather
Tagged under: Oceans | Antarctic | El Niño
Global average sea and air temperatures are spiking in 2023, before El Niño has fully arrived
2023-06-23 (or before) in Phys.org - News and Articles on Science and TechnologyRecent spikes in ocean heat content and average global air temperature have left climate scientists across the world scrambling to find the cause. The global average air temperature, relative to 1850-1900, exceeded the 1.5℃ lower Paris Agreement threshold during part of March and the first days of June. This last happened in 2020, and before that during the powerful 2015-16 El Niño.
Tagged under: Oceans | El Niño
Global average sea and air temperatures are spiking in 2023, before El Niño has fully arrived. We should be very concerned
2023-06-20 by in The ConversationOver the past three years, Earth’s climate system has accumulated an average of 11 Hiroshima bombs’ worth of excess energy per second. And it’s showing in the current surge in ocean temperature.
Tagged under: Oceans | El Niño
El Nino and Global Warming Accelearation
2023-06-15 (or before) in MailchimpTagged under: El Niño
El Niño is coming. We must plan for the worst to protect Australia’s energy system | Dylan McConnell and Iain MacGill
2023-06-09 in The GuardianThe Bureau of Meteorology predicts increased temperatures and heatwaves this year, raising the prospect of blackouts – just as the electricity sector faces several other challenges
Tagged under: Renewable Energy | Predictions | Fossil Fuels | Electricity | El Niño | Heatwaves
Pigs, rabbits and fish are dying from searing temperatures in China | CNN Business
2023-06-02 by in CNNWith parts of China experiencing record high temperatures and heavy rains, reports of farm animals and crops suffering from extreme weather patterns are dominating headlines in the country, raising concerns about food security in the world’s second largest economy.
Tagged under: Drought | Farming | Fish | Flooding | Rivers | Health | Food Production and Consumption | El Niño | Trees | Finance
Dr Jennifer Francis - 2023’s symptoms of climate chaos, El Niño, Ocean Heatwaves, and Arctic Sea Ice lows | Patreon
2023-05-28 (or before) in PatreonOfficial Post from ClimateGenn
Tagged under: Oceans | Arctic | El Niño | Heatwaves
Unusual Ocean Anomalies are being detected in the North Atlantic, impacting the Atlantic storm systems as we head into the Summer season
2023-05-23 by in Severe Weather Europe - ÒFollow severe weather as it happens. Anywhere. Any time.ÓUnusual Ocean Anomalies in the North Atlantic have developed over Spring, potentially impacting the weather patterns in the United States and Europe
Tagged under: Oceans | El Niño
El Nino on the way, could wipe out $3 trillion of world economy
2023-05-23 (or before) in Business News - Read Latest Startup, Tech, Markets, Finance, Science News - Business Insider IndiaTagged under: Oceans | El Niño
Anthropogenic impacts on twentieth-century ENSO variability changes - Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
2023-05-18 (or before) in NatureAlthough model projections indicate increased El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability in the future, contemporary impacts of anthropogenic forcing on ENSO variability have been difficult to ascertain. This Perspective discusses these contemporary effects, outlining that an increase in post-1960 ENSO variability is likely related to greenhouse gas forcing.
Tagged under: El Niño
Global heating has likely made El Niños and La Niñas more ‘frequent and extreme’, new study shows
2023-05-18 in The GuardianScientists say greenhouse gases have already affected climate patterns in the Pacific that could lead to more severe weather, floods and heatwaves
Tagged under: Pacific Ocean | El Niño | Heatwaves
World likely to breach 1.5C climate threshold by 2027, scientists warn
2023-05-17 in The GuardianUN agency says El Niño and human-induced climate breakdown could combine to push temperatures into ‘uncharted territory’
Tagged under: El Niño
The ocean is hotter than ever: what happens next?
2023-05-10 (or before) in NatureRecord temperature combined with an anticipated El Niño could devastate marine life and increase the chances of extreme weather. Record temperature combined with an anticipated El Niño could devastate marine life and increase the chances of extreme weather.
Tagged under: Oceans | El Niño
El Niño 2023 could be a monster!
2023-05-02 (or before) in YouTubeAfter three years of La Niña in the South Pacific supressing the effects of global warming, the ENSO system is now turning towards El Niño conditions, which ...
Tagged under: El Niño
Monster Heat Hits 1/3rd of World Population
2023-04-24 by in Counter PunchGlobal warming is hitting full stride as SE Asia, inclusive of parts of China and India literally roast. It’s a bad omen for the rest of the world as the entire planet is threatened by an emerging El Niño event starting this year. El Niño is the warm phase of the El Niño-Southern oscillation that originates in the equatorial Pacific every few years, bringing on more heat throughout the planet. According to euronews.com/green, El Niño is forecast to return in 2023 and could set new temperature records.
Tagged under: El Niño
Rapidly forming El Niño to boost global warming, scientists say
2023-04-19 in AxiosTagged under: El Niño
Super El Niño Warnung: Klimamodelle warnen vor einem heißen Sommer
2023-04-14 in Lokalnachrichten aus ganz …sterreich auf meinbezirk.atFrühwarnungen vom australischen Büro für Metrologie BAM und amerikanischen IRI von dieser Woche deuten auf ein starkes El Niño Jahr hin. Auch wenn es derzeit in Österreich nicht so aussieht, der Sommer kann global gesehen sehr heiß werden.
Tagged under: El Niño
‘Headed off the charts’: world’s ocean surface temperature hits record high
2023-04-08 in The GuardianScientists warn of more marine heatwaves, leading to increased risk of extreme weather
Tagged under: Oceans | El Niño | Heatwaves
The oceans just reached their hottest temperature on record as El Niño looms. Here are 6 things to watch for | CNN
2023-04-01 by in CNNIt's unclear how strong the coming El Niño will be -- some models predict it could reach super-strength, others suggest it will be more moderate.
Tagged under: Oceans | Drought | Predictions | Climate Change | Antarctic | Flooding | El Niño | Health | Climate Change Impacts | Finance
A looming El Niño could give us a preview of life at 1.5C of warming » Yale Climate Connections
2023-03-07 by in Yale Climate ConnectionsThe hotter weather pattern might push the Earth into unprecedented territory next year.
Tagged under: El Niño
The Convergence of the Next El Niño–Southern Oscillation & the Arctic Sea Ice Minimum
2023-01-29 in Kevin HesterAs the triple dip La Niña wanes, we need to consider the consequences of the next El Niño on the Arctic Sea Ice minimum, which ‘normally’ unfolds in the middle of September. That could …
Tagged under: Arctic | El Niño
Warning of unprecedented heatwaves as El Niño set to return in 2023
2023-01-16 in The GuardianScientists say phenomenon coupled with growing climate crisis likely to push global temperatures ‘off the chart’
Tagged under: Extreme Weather | Heatwaves | El Niño
Strong El Niño could make 2024 the first year we pass 1.5°C of warming | New Scientist
2023-01-15 (or before) in New ScientistEarly modelling suggests the world’s climate could shift to an El Niño pattern towards the end of 2023, which is likely to increase the global average temperature
Tagged under: El Niño
El Niño Is Coming—and the World Isn’t Prepared
2022-12-24 (or before) in WIRED MagazineTagged under: El Niño
Arctic sea ice loss to increase strong El Niño events linked to extreme weather: Study
2022-10-24 in MongabayAs Arctic sea ice begins melting out fully in summer, the frequency of strong El Niños could increase by 35% by century's end, causing extreme weather events to increase, says recent modeling study.
Tagged under: Extreme Weather | Arctic | Ice Melting | El Niño
New research reveals that wildfires can influence El Niño
2022-08-14 (or before) in Phys.org - News and Articles on Science and TechnologyWildfire is a phenomenon that has affected pretty much every vegetated environment on Earth for millions of years. However, during the past few decades, the planet has been experiencing extraordinary wildfire activity, with widespread devastation in diverse places such as the Mediterranean, North and South America, Southeast Asia, Australia and even Siberia. The current year has already shown troubling signs of massive fires—for example, Europe's total burnt area for the 2022 fire season is four times greater than the 2006–2021 average, according to the European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS).
Tagged under: Wildfires | Forest Fires | El Niño | Trees
The role of tropical volcanic eruptions in exacerbating Indian droughts - Scientific Reports
2022-05-02 (or before) in NatureThe Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) is vital for the livelihood of millions of people in the Indian region; droughts caused by monsoon failures often resulted in famines. Large volcanic eruptions have been linked with reductions in ISMR, but the responsible mechanisms remain unclear. Here, using 145-year (1871–2016) records of volcanic eruptions and ISMR, we show that ISMR deficits prevail for two years after moderate and large (VEI > 3) tropical volcanic eruptions; this is not the case for extra-tropical eruptions. Moreover, tropical volcanic eruptions strengthen El Niño and weaken La Ni&...
Tagged under: Solar Energy | Extreme Rainfall | Drought | Famine | El Niño
Another Record: Ocean Warming Continues through 2021 despite La Niña Conditions - Advances in Atmospheric Sciences
2022-01-11 (or before) in Springer VerlagThe increased concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere from human activities traps heat within the climate system and increases ocean heat content (OHC). Here, we provide the first analysis of recent OHC changes through 2021 from two international groups. The world ocean, in 2021, was the hottest ever recorded by humans, and the 2021 annual OHC value is even higher than last year’s record value by 14 ± 11 ZJ (1 zetta J = 1021 J) using the IAP/CAS dataset and by 16 ± 10 ZJ using NCEI/NOAA dataset. The long-term ocean warming is larger in the Atlantic and Southern Oceans than in other regions and is ...
Tagged under: Oceans | Greenhouse Gases | Climate Change | Pacific Ocean | El Niño | Climate Change Mitigation
Climate crisis: 2020 was joint hottest year ever recorded
2021-01-08 in The GuardianGlobal heating continued unabated despite Covid lockdowns, with record Arctic wildfires and Atlantic tropical storms
Tagged under: Extreme Weather | Wildfires | Arctic | Fossil Fuels | El Niño
Climate Change Might Trigger El Niño-like Pattern Over Indian Ocean by 2050: Study | The Weather Channel - Articles from The Weather Channel | weather.com
2020-05-24 (or before) in The Weather Channel and weather.comThe new study revealed that even a small increase in the surface temperature of the Indian Ocean can lead to the formation of El Niño-like patterns in the near future. - Articles from The Weather Channel | weather.com
Tagged under: Oceans | India | Climate Change | El Niño
Antarctica : What happens if the 'Doomsday' Glacier collapses?
2020-03-19 (or before) in YouTubeAntarctica is home to some of the world's largest ice sheets and glaciers. They existed in a stable equilibrium of ebb and flow for millions of years until g...
Tagged under: Climate Change | Antarctic | Collapse | El Niño
Climate havoc wipes out coastal kelp as SF Bay’s native fish species die off
2019-10-23 (or before) by in San Francisco ChronicleClimate havoc is wiping out the California coast’s kelp, an important food source for...
Tagged under: Fish | Rivers | Wildlife | California | El Niño
Meet El Niño’s cranky uncle that could send global warming into hyperdrive
2017-02-05 by in The ConversationWe’re due to cop a hiding from the Pacific Ocean, but we don’t know when.
Tagged under: Pacific Ocean | El Niño
El Niño and a record CO2 rise - Nature Climate Change
2016-06-13 in NatureThe recent El Niño event has elevated the rise in CO2 concentration this year. Here, using emissions, sea surface temperature data and a climate model, we forecast that the CO2 concentration at Mauna Loa will for the first time remain above 400 ppm all year, and hence for our lifetimes.
Tagged under: El Niño
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